How will Temu and Shein respond to Central American tariffs?

In response to the surge in cheap goods from China exported through e-commerce platforms, countries in Central and South America have been eliminating import duty-free policies or raising tariffs. With the rapid growth of e-commerce users, the domestic retail sector, particularly, is strongly demanding stricter regulations.

However, e-commerce platforms are responding by increasing local production, and their sales momentum has not weakened.

On August 15th, the Mexican government raised import tariffs to 33.5% on small-value goods valued at less than $50 shipped from China and other countries, targeting Chinese cross-border e-commerce platforms like Temu and Shein. In January, Mexico abolished its duty-free system for small-value imports and imposed a 19% tariff on goods from countries without trade agreements.

Chile will abolish its duty-free policy for goods under $41 and impose a 19% tariff starting in October. Ecuador imposes a flat fee of $20 on small-value goods, and Uruguay is also considering imposing a tax on low-priced goods purchased from overseas e-commerce websites, excluding the United States, beyond a certain number of purchases.

In Central and South America, the number of users of Chinese e-commerce platforms is rapidly increasing. Data from the US research firm Sensor Tower shows that Temu’s monthly active users (MAUs) increased by 80% by January compared to a year ago across the eight South American countries and Mexico for which relevant data is available. SHEIN, which already has a large customer base, also saw a 20% increase.

Temu’s MAUs increased by 2.5 times in Brazil and 43 times in Argentina, both experiencing dramatic growth. The influx of already low-priced Chinese products, enjoying duty-free or reduced tariffs, has exceeded expectations, leading to growing discontent in various countries regarding the impact on domestic industries.

This move is also intended to align with the Trump administration’s tough stance on China. In May, Trump eliminated duty-free restrictions on Chinese imports under $800. The number of packages imported duty-free into the US is believed to reach approximately 1.3 billion annually.

Since Trump’s victory in the presidential election in November 2024, Mexico has conducted large-scale crackdowns on suspected illegal imports of counterfeit brands made in China and other parts of Asia, and has presented the results to Trump.

Mexico announced an increase in tariffs on small imports on July 28, shortly before Trump announced a 30% tariff increase on Mexico on August 1. Following Mexico’s announcement, Trump postponed the 30% tariff increase for 90 days.

Six South American countries have more trade with China than with the United States.

On the other hand, many countries in Central and South America have rapidly strengthened their economic ties with China. In the past 25 years, trade between South America and China has expanded 40-fold. By 2023, six of the 12 South American countries had more trade with China than with the United States.

The effectiveness of these increased tariff measures remains unclear. In August 2024, Brazil became the first country in Central and South America to abolish its tax-free system. SHEIN is responding by increasing its domestic partner factories and expanding its e-commerce platform, which connects local businesses with consumers.

Sensor Tower data shows that even after the tax-free policy was lifted, SHEIN and Temu’s user base in Brazil continued to grow. The Financial Times (FT) reported on August 26 that Temu, which had suspended exports and sales from China to the US due to the May tax-free policy, resumed sales in July.

International Business News

The Trump administration is considering setting tariffs on non-major countries by region

Regarding the reciprocal tariffs set by the Trump administration for trading partners and regions, U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson said on May 18 that it was considering setting tariffs on Central America and Africa by “regional basis”. He was interviewed by CNN.

The United States will not conduct trade negotiations with countries other than major countries, but will unilaterally determine tariffs. Benson said that for countries with small trade volumes with the United States, “numbers can be given immediately”, and said that “there will be many regional transactions like ‘Central America has this tariff, Africa has this tariff’”.

This may also be opposed by trading partners.

The reciprocal tariffs proposed by the United States consist of a basic tariff of 10% and additional tariffs set by countries and regions. The additional tariffs have been suspended for 90 days and will expire in early July. The Trump administration originally planned to decide how to determine the additional tariffs based on negotiations with trading partners.

US President Trump said that there are about 150 countries that want to negotiate. He said on the 16th: “We can’t negotiate with multiple countries at once,” and said that letters about tariff rates of various countries will be sent out simultaneously in the next two to three weeks.

However, details such as whether the new proposed tariff rate will be higher or lower than the additional tariff rate of the equivalent tariff are still unclear.

source: International Business News

EU finds “TikTok in violation”

On May 15, the European Commission, the executive body of the European Union (EU), put forward a provisional opinion that the short video app “TikTok” violated relevant regulations on digital regulation. The Commission pointed out that TikTok did not do enough in disclosing relevant information about the release of video ads.

The European Commission investigated TikTok under the Digital Services Act (DSA), which requires platform operators to remove illegal content.

In order to prevent false information and fraudulent advertising, the EU Digital Services Act requires the disclosure of information about the source of advertising funds and also stipulates that the reasons for displaying specific ads should be disclosed to viewers. The European Commission believes that TikTok’s response is not sufficient.

In a statement on May 15, Virkkunen, the senior vice president of the European Commission for digital policy, emphasized that “transparency in advertising, including who pays and how to which audiences, is essential to protect the public interest.”

The European Commission is conducting multiple investigations into TikTok, suspecting that it has failed to take adequate measures to address risks that may affect the results of European elections and prevent minors from becoming addicted.

source: International Business News

Japanese machine tool orders increased 8% in April as Chinese demand grew

Japanese machine tool orders increased by 8% in April, and demand in China increased

According to data released by the Japan Machine Tool Builders’ Association (JMA) on May 15, the amount of machine tool orders (preliminary value) in April increased by 8% year-on-year to 130.2 billion yen. Overall growth has been achieved for seven consecutive months. Considering the current situation, manufacturers generally believe that corporate factory investment will continue to remain strong.

From the composition of machine tool orders in April, domestic orders in Japan decreased by 5% to 34.4 billion yen, and overseas orders increased by 13% to 95.7 billion yen. The JMA said, “The level is acceptable. Although equipment investment by small and medium-sized enterprises in Japan is weak, there has been no impact such as the suspension of negotiations caused by US tariffs.”

Judging from the situation in factory automation-related fields such as machine tools and robots, many companies expect to achieve both revenue and profit growth in fiscal 2025 (ending March 2026). Although there is a risk of equipment investment slowing down due to Trump’s tariffs, the mainstream view is that the risk can be offset by the recovery of demand in China and semiconductor-related fields.

Makino Milling Machine Co., Ltd. believes that the appreciation of the yen will cause the company’s consolidated sales in fiscal 2025 to decrease by 11.3 billion yen from the previous fiscal year, and its operating profit to decrease by 2.1 billion yen, but from the full-year performance, both sales and operating profits will set new historical highs.

source: International Business News